Amazing things are what we need to do on climate now

David Spratt, author of Climate Reality Check
David Spratt, author of ‘Climate Reality Check’. Photo: Centre for Climate Safety

We need ideas leadership. The rate of climate action needs to be more urgent than the politicians want to speak about, says David Spratt, author of ‘Climate Reality Check’, in this short audio interview:


» Right-click to download the audio file (MP3, 128 kbps)

Transcript
“We need a check to see where things are at. We have had expectations about climate change – how fast things would change. We had a bit of a shock with the forest fires at Christmas in Tasmania, which for people who go bush walking was a big “Wow! I didn’t expect this this quickly!” – and we have just had some data saying that February was the hottest month on record ever by 0.2 degree – normally it is one hundredth of a degree. So I thought I should write something trying to get us up to date.

The paper is called ‘Climate Reality Check’ – and it says what is going on now, and what we need to learn from it. And the obvious answer is that it is more urgent than we thought, and the rate of action needs to be more urgent than the politicians want to speak about.”

“So are people listening?”

“Oh, look, I think we are getting a great response. It is being discussed on forums around the world. People are saying to me: ‘Yes, the climate movement, some of the big groups, have been too conservative.’

We can’t only worry about what we need to say to people in marginal seats at election time, we also need ideas leadership. I mean, it reminds me a bit about the situation before the Second World War in England, where we had a prime minister who wanted to say ‘Peace in our time’, and so on, and to make a peace pact with Germany, which wasn’t a good idea. Churchill was the opposition leader and was opposed to this, but nobody wanted to listen to him.

Then suddenly the penny dropped, and Churchill went from being this dissident voice saying ‘We’ve got a problem and we’ve really got to face that’ – to becoming prime minister. He made speeches and transformed society.

I think that is the moment we are on climate change – of saying: ‘Yes, the normal expectations won’t work. We want real leadership now!’, and… it is hard to talk about wars and leadership, but everybody knows that Churchill helped to inspire a nation and to do amazing things – and amazing things are what we have to do on climate now.”

The interview was recorded by Mik Aidt on 18 March 2016 at a national Climate Action Network conference in Melbourne, Australia.


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As planet burns hot, new report shows Paris a relic of historic failure

Scientists say they are shocked and stunned by the “unprecedented” NASA temperature figures for February 2016, which are 1.65°C higher than the beginning of the 20th century and around 1.9°C warmer than the pre-industrial level.

Stefan Rahmstorf of Germany’s Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research says we are now “in a kind of climate emergency”.

Like the dramatic and unexpected “big melt” in the Arctic in 2007, we are now in another moment of terrifying climate reality, for Nature cannot be fooled. The recent data suggests it has taken just three months for the Paris climate accord — with its escalating emissions to 2030 — to become a relic, completely disconnected to the task the world now faces.

So what is the reality after Paris?, asks David Spratt from Climate Action Moreland and gives an answer to this in his quickly read paper, ‘Climate Reality Check’.

» Download the Breakthrough report ‘Climate Reality Check’

» Climate Code Red – 14 March 2016:
Mind-blowing February 2016 temperature spike a “climate emergency” says scientist, as extreme events hit Vietnam, Fiji and Zimbabwe

» Beyond Zero Emissions – February 2013:
David Spratt & the Climate Emergency



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American presidential candidate talks WWII-scale climate mobilisation

Published on youtube.com on 15 March 2016

On 14 March 2016, at a MSNBC Town Hall with Chuck Todd, Senator Bernie Sanders said:

“This is the way I look at it — I know people will disagree with me. In WWII for example, the United States had to fight a war on 2 fronts in a very short period of time. And within 3 years, actually we had essentially won the war. I look at climate change almost in military terms. I look at the fact that if we do not significantly reduce carbon emissions, there is going to be massive damage done to our country and this planet. But I have absolute confidence…”

Chuck Todd: “So you would marshal that kind of resources?”

Bernie Sanders: “I think you need to look at it as a warlike… we are being attacked and the attack is coming from climate change. And that is going to mean more extreme weather disturbances. Look at what’s going on in California in terms of drought. You’re gonna have…The CIA tells us we will have more international conflict as people fight over limited natural resources.”

» www.TheClimateMobilization.org



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“The quote is adapted only slightly from Winton Churchill’s famous 1940 speech. That call helped change the course of WW2 and history. This call is in sympathy and support for the May 2016 #BreakFree campaign by 350.org (and other organisations round the world) – to expand action in getting global emissions cut.

This is a call for serious engagement of minds and hearts, a push for effective actions, in all countries.
It is a call for members to expand their actions, especially in all theatres of society that they reach – communicating the basics of the challenge and the urgently needed paths forward.”


Call for an official declaration of climate emergency

We are yet to see a ‘Churchill’-figure of our time who will champion the need to a ‘World War II-kind of mobilisation’ against the threats of global warming and climate change – with both the necessary rhetoric skills and a sufficient scientific understanding to actually make voters listen.

Barack Obama certainly did his bit towards the end of his presidency in the United States. However, as he is on his way out, American politics could quickly transform his step forward towards cleaner energy production into two fossil-fuel powered steps backwards.

Pledge to mobilise
One thing we all can do is call our leaders out. Ask them if they’d be in support of emergency speed climate action, such as to reduce your country’s net greenhouse gas emissions 100 percent by 2030 at the latest and to implement far-reaching measures to remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. Ask them to issue and support an official declaration of climate emergency.

The Climate Mobilization encourages you to call on your nation’s government to immediately commence a social and economic mobilisation to restore a climate that is safe, stable, and supportive of human civilisation. “This heroic campaign shall be carried out on a vast scale, transforming our economy at wartime speed,” The Climate Mobilization writes, because “climate change is causing immense human suffering and damage to the natural world. It threatens the collapse of civilization within this century. Confronting this crisis is the great moral imperative of our time.”

» You can sign the pledge on www.theclimatemobilization.org

» Here is a list of some of the ‘climate champions’ of our time



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“Australia hard hit, but not pulling its weight”

“There is feedback from a lot of Western Australians and Queenslanders that they are moving because it has gotten too hot or dry,” Mr Collidge said.


» Herald Sun – 31 March 2016:
Climate change: how Australia’s capital cities will be hotter and drier by 2050



» ABC – 1 April 2016:
March temperatures sets record as hottest ever, Bureau of Meteorology says




The climate emergency: Time to switch to panic mode?

“The latest temperature data are nothing but spine-chilling. What are we seeing? Is this just a sort of a rebound from the so-called ‘pause’? Or something much more worrisome? We may be seeing something that portends a major switch in the climate system; an unexpected acceleration of the rate of change. There are reasons to be worried, very worried.”


» Resilience – 15 March 2016:
The Climate Emergency: Time to Switch to Panic Mode?


» The Guardian – 18 March 2016:
Welcome to the climate emergency: you’re about 20 years late


» ABC – 20 March 2016:
Climate emergency

“February 2016 was likely the hottest month in thousands of years, as we approach the 2°C danger limit.”


The Guardian – 21 March 2016:
Current record-shattering temperatures are shocking even to climate scientists

“Sea levels could rise by more than 15 metres by 2500 if greenhouse-gas emissions continue to grow.”


» Nature – 30 March 2016:
Antarctic model raises prospect of unstoppable ice collapse



Significant energy imbalance

“Because of the buildup of CO2 in the atmosphere, stemming mainly from the burning of fossils fuel, Earth is in a state of significant energy imbalance. That imbalance now averages about 0.6 Watts/m2 over the entire planet – equivalent to exploding more than 400,000 Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs per day, 365 days per year.”
Dr James Hansen



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» The Guardian – 31 March 2016:
Sea levels set to ‘rise far more rapidly than expected’

» The Guardian – 9 February 2016:
Sea-level rise ‘could last twice as long as human history’



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The need for emergency action

In February 2016, ten Victorian community climate action groups sent an eight-page document to the Victorian Government outlining the actions the state government should take to drive emissions reductions, and describing the magnitude of the emissions reductions required. Here is a short summary of their recommendations:

“SET A TARGET OF ZERO EMISSIONS IN TEN YEARS
The role of state governments is particularly important if the federal government continues with policies which are not even close to those required to meet our international obligations. Victoria can be, and should be, a leader on climate action and we are heartened by your interest in this goal.
In order to secure the conditions needed for the wellbeing of current and future generations, we call on the Victorian government to ensure that Victoria’s emissions reductions targets are based on recognition of the need for an emergency transition to a zero emissions economy and for drawdown of the excess greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere.

INFORM POLICY MAKERS AND THE PUBLIC ABOUT THE NEED FOR EMERGENCY ACTION
We welcome the stronger language already being used by the Victorian government and the use of detailed briefings on likely changes in local areas as a way of engaging people in the reality of climate change. However, the job is only half done. We call on the state government to be much more direct in letting the public know that big changes are needed in order to address climate change – including a rapid transition to zero emissions – and that there is no choice as the effects of climate change are potentially catastrophic.
In particular we call on the Victorian government to:
• ensure that members of parliament and bureaucrats involved in policy and planning are well informed about the need for a rapid transition to zero emissions and the scaling up of draw-­down and sequestration
• begin a process of considering how best to convey the need for large scale transformation to members of the public, so that they are inspired by the possibilities of transformation and reassured that the government recognises the seriousness of the threat

IMMEDIATE ACTION TO BEGIN REDUCING EMISSIONS TO ZERO AND BEYOND
We call on the Victorian government to implement:
• an emergency speed transition to a zero emissions economy in all sectors of society in about ten years (including stationary energy, buildings, transport, land use and industry)
• the rapid scaling up of safe measures to draw-­down the excess greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere (including re-­afforestation and increased levels of soil carbon).

All the technology we require to reach zero emissions is already available, what is required is the political will to drive the scale and speed of change which is required. The drawdown of greenhouse gases at the scale required will require support for further research and development of scalable and safe methods and these must be pursued as a matter of urgency.

HAVE COURAGE
We ask you to have the courage to say what Schellnhuber found too difficult to tell, and spell out in clear and evocative language both the unspeakable risks we face, and the inspiring opportunity that transition to a zero emissions society provides. We ask you to immediately begin on the path of bold and transformative action we need.
We ask you to provide the kind of leadership required at this pivotal point in history.”

“Failure to act now will haunt us till the end of time.”
~ Garnaut, 2008


Endorsed by 10 different climate action groups in Victoria, this submission was sent to the Victorian Climate Change Framework on 29 February 2016.

The Victorian government had requested input from the communities, citizens and businesses:

“The Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning is building a framework for climate change action in Victoria that will be released in 2016. The Department want to hear about the challenges and opportunities for climate change action, your vision for a thriving and resilient future for Victoria, and how government can work with you to get us there. 

The role of the Victorian Climate Change framework will be to outline:
• a shared vision for a Climate Ready Victoria in 2030,
• principles of state government focus and action,
• the role for all Victorians to support the shared vision, and
• key actions of government in mitigation and adaptation to support the vision.”

» Read or download the submission (PDF, 8 pages)



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The Netherlands and China show how it is done

https://www.facebook.com/groups/124853604211923/permalink/1215111001852839/



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“The disconnect between Australian politics and the urgency of our climate crisis is dizzying. Australia’s so-called leaders are a bunch of Neros, fiddling while the atmosphere burns.”
Ben Eltham, New Matilda’s National Affairs Correspondent




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Tell Australia’s prime minister how you feel

The organisers of Earth Hour ask: Will you email PM Turnbull, and ask him to get rid of wasteful fossil fuel subsidies in the next budget? 

To help you get started, here’s the kind of thing you could say:
 

‘Dear Mr Turnbull,
The government spends around $12 billion a year on fossil fuel subsidies. That means taxpayers are paying big polluters to keep pumping out pollution, which is causing climate change. I want to see the government get rid of fossil fuel subsidies in the next budget, and instead invest in clean, renewable technology for a safer climate future.’


» Write your email to Malcolm Turnbull here:
www.pm.gov.au/contact-your-pm


» Will you tweet PM Turnbull now, asking him to commit Australia to 100% renewable electricity by 2035? Click here: www.e-activist.com



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Find out more about a rapid transition to 100% renewable energy
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Pressure for change: Sign important petitions
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» See more joint email-writing campaigns and petitions you could sign:
www.climatesafety.info/petitions